Update

If Anyone got  the wrong Idea sorry about that.

 The models are now showing a weaker storm and more to the south  however there is still a chance for some precip  of the wintery varity though it may be on the light side some models hint at.

On another note
the storm that going to affect  The Mid Atlantic area is still out side range of sample stations that the models rely on so things could change when  the storm comes ashore  we shall see.  it takes a professional to stand by what he/she sees and not to waver the forecasts based on what the models say that to me is just as bad as Wish-Casting  it confuses the general public. though the Out to sea solution i dont agree with but i am not takeing it of the table  just yet i want to see what models say when the storm comes on shore and there are better sampling stations to feed data into  the models.

then we will have a better handle on what the storm will be like for the Mid Atlantic Area  as it comes across the United States.

The Models do they best they can with what little data they have when the storms are off the west coast  before they come on shore so they will be all over the place its what i expect at this time when the storm comes ashore then we will get a better sampling and things should start falttening out model wise so we shall see.

i have seen that and agree with  a Meteorologist that said " any one can be a meteorologist if you just use the model data a. a big event or b a non event " but it takes a professonal to understand what they are seeing  on the models"  and he also says " Models  do not make the weather they do their best to model it" (Me)" and provide solutions as to what it may do"  so again please dont think you know what you see just know as i have said before its Guidance  weather and mother nature may not do what the models say and that's always a possiblity.  I am Still Entertaining the 1st possible track but on a much weaker scale and maybe a tad  farther off the coast  but i am not giving in to the 2nd the out to sea solution.

this is a nightmare to forecast for because its just now coming on shore so like i allway's stress stay tuned and that things change so don't take the models as verbatum they are Just GUIDANCE.

thanks :-)